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Date: 08/05/05

Poll Position

I suppose some comment on the election is obligatory, given that I went on so much about it beforehand.

It is remarkable that we can still refer to ourselves as a democracy when you have a party elected to govern with an outright majority of seats on the basis of scarcely 35% of the votes cast, and a bare 22% of the total electorate. Voting reform is urgently needed, or else the turnout figures (very slightly higher than last time, due I'm sure to the perception that this was going to be slightly more of a contest) will continue to be low, as many people see their votes as counting for nothing. It is imperative that we restore the health of our system.

The actual result? Well, all in all, it could have been a lot worse. Blair's majority is large enough to enable his government to get things done without being sufficiently overwhelming to enable it to do what the hell it wants. This may be the end for the proposed ID card bill and (to some extent, at least) a restriction on New Labour's mad impulse to increase private profiteering in the public services. Although all that depends on being able to find thirty-odd Labour MPs with a backbone - not necessarily easy. We must be watchful on this front.

The Chicken Little act ("Vote Labour or else you'll get a Tory government!") was never likely to succeed. The electorate has grown too inured to wild claims from Labour to be fooled. The increase in seats for the Liberal Democrats was quite welcome, although there are problems with this, in that they did not succeed in depressing the Conservative vote in most of southern England. This means that the Tories are grabbing back seats which were theirs almost by Divine Right in the 1980s, and also that the seats the Lib Dems do hold in those areas are going to be particularly vulnerable to a further increase in the Tory vote next time. Their swings and gains from Labour were quite noticeable however, and the gain of Manchester Withington must be seen as a spectacular achievement. But Kennedy and Campbell's claims that we are now irrevocably in the era of three-party politics have been heard before, and heralded only failure later.

One or two pickings from elsewhere:

I was sad to see Simon Thomas lose Ceredigion. I knew Simon slightly at University, and he is a good man. I can't imagine what possessed the Cardis to vote for a Lib Dem candidate who doesn't live in the constituency and doesn't speak the native language of a large proportion of its inhabitants. But then, Cardis are an odd lot. I know - I lived among them for a while.

Peter Law's victory in Blaenau Gwent was, however astonishing it may be to those ignorant of electoral history, not without precedent. Back in the late 1960s, the Labour Party in nearby Merthyr Tudful deselected its sitting MP S.O. Davies, ostensibly on the grounds that he was too old (but really because he was pro-self-government - an heretical opinion in the Labour Party in Wales in the age of George Thomas). He resigned from the party, stood in the 1970 election as an independent, and defeated the official Labour candidate, remaining in office until his death in 1972.

George Galloway's victory in Bethnal Green And Bow was not that much of a surprise, given that the sitting MP was pro-war in an largely Muslim area. Galloway is a blowhard, but it should make for interesting scenes in the House. One rare cause for being sympathetic to him was the disgraceful way in which he was 'interviewed' by Jeremy Paxman on Newsnight after his victory. Starting an interview with "What's it like to have removed a black woman MP from the House of Commons?" was unworthy, not least because it was irrelevant to the issues in the election - why not ask how it was that the defeated Oona King had been elected twice in a row by such a constituency despite being a black Jewish woman? It would scarcely have been less insensitive.

So, there they all are, all 646 of them, pootling away for the next four years or so, until they try to persuade us once more that we can't live without them.